Notre Dame tops Purdue in Kelly's debut with Irish

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/04/2010 - South Bend, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dayne Crist passed for 205 yards and a touchdown, as Notre Dame topped the Purdue Boilermakers, 23-12, in Brian Kelly's Fighting Irish debut.

Kelly, a proven winner that resurrected both the Central Michigan and Cincinnati programs, came to Notre Dame (1-0) after leading the Bearcats to a 12-0 regular season in 2009. Crist, making his first collegiate start, completed 19-of-26 passes in the victory, while Armando Allen Jr. paced the ground attack with 93 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries.

Purdue (0-1) quarterback Robert Marve, a junior who sat out last season after transferring from Miami, hit on 31-of-42 tosses with 220 yards and two picks. He did have a rushing touchdown for the Boilermakers, who finished 5-7 a year ago. Keith Smith was his main outlet, as he pulled in 12 passes for 80 yards.

The Irish kicked off the scoring with a 22-yard touchdown run by Allen with just over two minutes left in the opening quarter. The run capped a seven- play, 84-yard drive.

Early in the second quarter, Notre Dame's David Ruffer made a 22-yard field goal.

Purdue countered behind a Carson Wiggs 25-yard field goal with just under four minutes remaining before the half. The Boilermakers settled for the field goal after a 15-play, 79-drive stalled in Notre Dame territory.

Ruffer gave the Irish a 13-3 halftime advantage on a 46-yard field goal with 43 second left.

The Irish extended their lead early in the third quarter, as Crist tossed a five-yard touchdown pass to T.J. Jones.

The Boilermakers, though, made things interesting early in the fourth quarter. After the defense came up with a safety, Purdue took the ensuing possession 55 yards, capping the seven-play drive with a 23-yard touchdown run by Marve on a fourth-and-one situation.

The Irish, however, would respond with a 37-yard field goal by Ruffer that capped a 10-play, 39-yard drive with four-plus minutes to go.

Notre Dame is now 54-26-2 all-time versus Purdue, including wins in five of the last six meetings.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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